Market Analysis

  • Battery Technology 2026: The Legacy, the Now, and the Lab

    Battery Technology 2026: The Legacy, the Now, and the Lab

    CATL holds 39.2% of the global power battery market. It runs LFP, sodium-ion, semi-solid state, and all-solid-state research at the same time. Nobody competes with that head-on. Conventional lithium-ion still runs the world’s phones and laptops, using a lithium cobalt oxide chemistry that packs a lot of energy into a very small space. Cars and…

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  • Moroccan Phosphate Tariffs Suspended: Mosaic Takes the Hit, Five Companies Stand to Benefit

    Moroccan Phosphate Tariffs Suspended: Mosaic Takes the Hit, Five Companies Stand to Benefit

    The U.S. declared a food supply emergency on June 29 and suspended countervailing duties on Moroccan phosphate fertilizer for up to eight months. StoneX’s head of fertilizer said North America is already one of the cheapest phosphate destinations in the world. Morocco has little incentive to ship there. Moroccan Phosphate Tariffs 2021–2026: How One Petition…

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  • Uranium’s Return: Why One of the World’s Most Misunderstood Commodities Is Becoming Critical to the Future of Energy

    Uranium’s Return: Why One of the World’s Most Misunderstood Commodities Is Becoming Critical to the Future of Energy

    For decades, uranium has been associated almost exclusively with nuclear weapons, Cold War politics, and catastrophic accidents such as Chernobyl and Fukushima. Yet that perception overlooks uranium’s far more significant role today. Far from being a military commodity, uranium has become an essential fuel for one of the world’s most reliable sources of clean electricity.…

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  • SpaceX Stock SPCX: What the S-1 Actually Shows About the Business

    SpaceX Stock SPCX: What the S-1 Actually Shows About the Business

    SpaceX listed June 12 at $135 per share. It opened at $150, peaked at $172 during the session, and closed at $160.95, up 19% on the first day. Market cap crossed $2 trillion before the afternoon bell. The largest IPO in history raised $75 billion in a single session. SpaceX S-1 Financial Breakdown: $18.7 Billion…

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  • The Tungsten Supply War: Why One Stock Rose 2,400% and Others May Follow

    The Tungsten Supply War: Why One Stock Rose 2,400% and Others May Follow

    China controls more than 80% of the world’s tungsten supply. The United States has given defense contractors until January 2027 to stop sourcing tungsten from China. Tungsten prices have surged. One company, Almonty Industries, has risen more than 2,400% in roughly sixteen months. Several smaller companies are now positioning themselves to benefit from the same…

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  • Trump in Beijing: China’s Rare Earth Squeeze Is Already Working

    Trump in Beijing: China’s Rare Earth Squeeze Is Already Working

    Trump landed in Beijing this morning. Thirty-six hours. Xi Jinping across the table. Rare earths on the agenda alongside AI chips, Taiwan, and a war that has closed the Strait of Hormuz. The rare earths are the reason he went. Germany has received zero dysprosium from China since April 2025. Japan received four percent of…

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  • Edmonton Just Hosted the Most Important Energy Meeting You’ve Never Heard Of

    Edmonton Just Hosted the Most Important Energy Meeting You’ve Never Heard Of

    Last week, more than 7,500 people flew into Edmonton for three days to talk about a single fuel source. Energy executives, government officials, Indigenous leaders, engineers, investors, and international buyers from across Europe and Asia all converged on the Edmonton Convention Center for the Canadian Hydrogen Convention, North America’s largest gathering dedicated to hydrogen. The…

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  • Beyond the Strait: 30-40% of Gulf Refining Capacity Is Already Gone

    Beyond the Strait: 30-40% of Gulf Refining Capacity Is Already Gone

    The Market Is Watching the Wrong Number Brent crude hit $105.73 on Friday. Everyone is tracking the Strait of Hormuz. Nobody is talking about what is already broken. The ceasefire is holding. Just. The US naval blockade of Iranian ports is still active. Iran is still seizing ships. Both sides are using economic strangulation as…

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  • The Ceasefire Is Dead and the Blockade Is Live — Here’s the Full Market Breakdown

    The Ceasefire Is Dead and the Blockade Is Live — Here’s the Full Market Breakdown

    Executive Summary The Islamabad talks collapsed on a single core issue: Iran refused to commit to abandoning nuclear weapons development. After 21 hours of the highest-level US-Iran engagement since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, VP Vance announced no deal and boarded Air Force Two. Trump immediately ordered a naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Strait…

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  • Relief Rally or Real Resolution? The Iran Ceasefire Market Breakdown

    Relief Rally or Real Resolution? The Iran Ceasefire Market Breakdown

    Executive Summary Late April 7, President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran, contingent on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz to safe passage. Iran’s Supreme National Security Council accepted. The market reaction was immediate and dramatic. WTI crude fell as much as 19% in after-hours trading to below $94, the largest single-day drop since…

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