Market Analysis

  • Green Energy Markets Weekly: The Oil Shock That Made the Clean Energy Argument for Us

    Green Energy Markets Weekly: The Oil Shock That Made the Clean Energy Argument for Us

    Brent crude is trading at $96.42 this morning. That is up from $92.56 at the end of May, when oil posted its worst monthly performance since the COVID-19 pandemic, down almost 19% on ceasefire optimism that has not yet produced a signed deal. The ceasefire extension memorandum is on President Trump’s desk awaiting his signature…

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  • The Tungsten Supply War: Why One Stock Rose 2,400% and Others May Follow

    The Tungsten Supply War: Why One Stock Rose 2,400% and Others May Follow

    China controls more than 80% of the world’s tungsten supply. The United States has given defense contractors until January 2027 to stop sourcing tungsten from China. Tungsten prices have surged. One company, Almonty Industries, has risen more than 2,400% in roughly sixteen months. Several smaller companies are now positioning themselves to benefit from the same…

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  • Half the Year’s Inflows Are Gone. Here Is Where the Money Went

    Half the Year’s Inflows Are Gone. Here Is Where the Money Went

    Bitcoin closed Friday at $73,381. That is its lowest level of the week, its lowest since early May, and roughly 42% below the all-time high it set back in October. The week started soft and got softer. Ethereum broke through $2,000 on Friday for the first time in weeks, heading the wrong direction. Fear and…

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  • $106 Oil and the July 4 Deadline: The Clean Energy Signals That Matter This Week

    $106 Oil and the July 4 Deadline: The Clean Energy Signals That Matter This Week

    Oil at $106 a barrel, global inventories drawing at a record pace, and a 21-mile-wide waterway holding the energy market hostage for the third straight month. The Strait of Hormuz closure did not create the clean energy investment thesis. It just made it impossible to argue against. The same week, the UAE confirmed its exit…

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  • OpenAI API Price Hikes, Meta Layoffs, SAP Acquisition: The AI Week Unpacked

    OpenAI API Price Hikes, Meta Layoffs, SAP Acquisition: The AI Week Unpacked

    Google I/O ran Tuesday and Wednesday and the headlines were about Gemini models and smart glasses. The more important story landed Monday morning, before the keynote started. Blackstone committed $5 billion to a joint venture with Google to bring TPU compute-as-a-service to market, the first serious structural challenge to Nvidia’s grip on AI infrastructure in…

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  • Trafigura’s $700M LME Withdrawal and What It Means for Junior Players

    Trafigura’s $700M LME Withdrawal and What It Means for Junior Players

    Gold spent the week stuck. Iran peace talks gave it brief bounces but nothing that held. The 10-year Treasury hit 4.6653% on May 19, its highest since January 2025, and rate hike odds for December firmed toward 40%. That combination kept a ceiling on bullion and pushed the junior gold miner index to its worst…

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  • Enhertu Double Approval, Regeneron Miss: What It Means for Smaller Biotechs

    Enhertu Double Approval, Regeneron Miss: What It Means for Smaller Biotechs

    Two FDA decisions landed on the same Monday and pulled the sector in opposite directions. AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu picked up two new approvals in early breast cancer. Regeneron dropped 12% after its melanoma trial missed statistical significance against Keytruda. One validated a platform that smaller biotechs are actively building on. The other confirmed…

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  • GENIUS Act Deadline, CLARITY Act Vote: Crypto’s Big Week Unpacked

    GENIUS Act Deadline, CLARITY Act Vote: Crypto’s Big Week Unpacked

    $2.26 billion left the crypto market in two weeks and it didn’t leave quietly. A bond market repricing, Iranian escalation pushing oil past $110, and a legislative milestone that the market decided to sell — all of it landing in the same seven-day window. Bitcoin ended the week around $76,400, down roughly 6% from the…

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  • Trump in Beijing: China’s Rare Earth Squeeze Is Already Working

    Trump in Beijing: China’s Rare Earth Squeeze Is Already Working

    Trump landed in Beijing this morning. Thirty-six hours. Xi Jinping across the table. Rare earths on the agenda alongside AI chips, Taiwan, and a war that has closed the Strait of Hormuz. The rare earths are the reason he went. Germany has received zero dysprosium from China since April 2025. Japan received four percent of…

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  • Edmonton Just Hosted the Most Important Energy Meeting You’ve Never Heard Of

    Edmonton Just Hosted the Most Important Energy Meeting You’ve Never Heard Of

    Last week, more than 7,500 people flew into Edmonton for three days to talk about a single fuel source. Energy executives, government officials, Indigenous leaders, engineers, investors, and international buyers from across Europe and Asia all converged on the Edmonton Convention Center for the Canadian Hydrogen Convention, North America’s largest gathering dedicated to hydrogen. The…

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